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Jobless Rate for Blacks Falls to 23-Year Low

Economy delivers ripe job market for African-Americans and the potential to improve corrosive social problems

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Most jobless Americans measure their periods of idleness in months, even years; David Curry does it in hours.

He left a job as a day-care administrator in June and, just 48 hours later landed a new position at the Export-Import Bank.

"I stayed on top of the job market, and things turned out pretty well," says Mr. Curry, who tracks insurance claims for the bank.

Such quick leaps have become common in America's pinched labor market. But for Curry, it underscores another trend - remarkably ripe job opportunities for African-Americans.

The unemployment rate for black workers fell to 9.3 percent in August, the lowest monthly figure in more than 23 years. This year, a smaller part of the black labor force is without work than in any year since 1973, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

At first glance, such numbers would seem to merit big fanfare. A decline in black joblessness could help reduce corrosive income disparities with whites, whose unemployment rate last month was just 4.2 percent.

And some scholars and policymakers view unemployment as the leading cause of crime, drug abuse, family breakup, and other social problems. So a fall in unemployment could improve social well-being.

But it is unlikely the current dip in black joblessness marks a lasting turnaround, economists say. Instead, it will probably prove to be - as in prior instances in recent decades - just a sign of an unusually strong demand for labor.

"The job market is superstrong and with a rising tide all boats rise," says Harvey Silver, president of CORE Personnel, the employment agency in Alexandria, Va., that helped Curry land a new job.

"This is part of a well-established pattern in the economic cycle," says Timothy Bates, a professor of economics at Wayne State University in Detroit.

"The labor market is tight, the economy has done well for a few years, and these are the circumstances that always bring down black unemployment rates," says Mr. Bates: "There's a phrase, 'Last hired; first fired,' and we're in the first part of that pattern," hinting at potential layoffs for blacks if the economy contracts.


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