Switch to Desktop Site

Markets foresee global contraction

France, Ireland, and Denmark are in recession. Others teeter on the edge.


In Germany: Lip-biting among traders.

Kai Pfaffenbach/Reuters

About these ads

Battered by successive shocks, the world economy may be slipping into multicontinent recession.

First, the housing bubble burst in the US and some European nations. Then soaring commodity prices hit countries around the world, especially poor food-importers. Now the bank turmoil wrought by the real estate downturn is spreading beyond Wall Street to other financial capitals.

Ireland, Denmark, and France have declared a recession. Germany and Britain are teetering. Even the hot economies of India and China may suffer slowing growth.

"At this point it is a very fragile situation," says Eswar Prasad, an international economics professor at Cornell University and a fellow at the Brookings Institution in Washington. "There is a crisis of confidence more than anything else."

The US economy remains the world's biggest, and its course is a powerful influence on business from London to Kuala Lumpur. While US stock indices continue to gyrate in the face of financial uncertainty, a growing number of economists believe America's economy as a whole is either already in a recession or on the brink of one.


Page 1 of 4