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Arctic sea ice rebounds, but don't jump to 'global cooling' conclusions

Parts of the Arctic Ocean containing at least 15 percent sea ice have increased by 78 percent when compared with the extent last year at this time, according to data compiled by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.


The crew of the US Coast Guard Cutter Healy, in the midst of their ICESCAPE mission, retrieves supplies for some mid-mission fixes dropped by parachute from a C-130 in the Arctic Ocean on July 12, 2011.

Kathryn Hansen/NASA/Reuters/File

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After a record-breaking decline in the extent of summer sea ice on the Arctic Ocean last year, this year's minimum has returned to levels that more closely track the long-term rate of decline that scientists have measured for at least 34 years.

The striking one-year recovery in end-of-melt-season ice speaks more to the role that natural variability plays in any single year's number, Arctic sea-ice specialists say. It says little or nothing about any purported global cooling, as some skeptics of climate change have suggested.

Researchers note that the long-term decline in summer sea ice is strongly correlated with rising temperatures in the region, increases they attribute to global warming.

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Scientists are keeping close tabs on Arctic sea ice because it plays an important role in the global climate in general and Northern Hemisphere climate in particular. During the summer, when the Arctic landscape is absorbing sunlight and re-radiating it as heat, Arctic sea ice acts as a counterweight. Its white surface reflects sunlight back into space, keeping the region cooler than it might otherwise be.


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