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Golden Globes: What do the winners mean for the Oscars?

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(Read caption) Jennifer Lawrence won the Best Actress – Motion Picture Musical or Comedy prize for 'Silver Linings Playbook.'

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There’s nothing like an underdog to shake up the Oscar race. (And that sometimes makes it a lot more fun to watch, too.)

After months of pundits predicting that the Best Picture race would be a showdown between “Lincoln,” director Steven Spielberg’s study of the sixteenth president fighting to free the slaves, and “Zero Dark Thirty,” Kathryn Bigelow’s story of how the US government found Osama bin Laden, Ben Affleck’s movie “Argo” took home the Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture – Drama. Many had predicted the film about a fake movie crew rescuing Americans from Iran in 1979 was losing its award-season mojo after Affleck wasn’t nominated for Best Director for the Oscars.

The Best Motion Picture – Drama prize can be a harbinger of what movie will win Best Picture at the Oscars as well, though sometimes the fact that the Globes divides the prize into Best Motion Picture – Drama and Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy has hampered those predictions. (“The Artist,” last year’s Best Picture winner, was declared a Musical or Comedy by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association and so won that prize, not Drama.) And, of course, sometimes they don’t match up at all. The winners for Best Drama at the Golden Globes in 2007, 2009, and 2010 were all different from the eventual Best Picture winner.

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