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Down to the wire, it's crunch time for Democrats and Obama

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As David Jackson at USA Today points out, Obama is in good company. Franklin Roosevelt, Harry Truman, Lyndon Johnson, Jimmy Carter, and Bill Clinton all experienced a “conservative wave” election as president. While Roosevelt, Truman, and Clinton held on to the White House two years later (and even strengthened their position), congressional midterm losses helped end the presidencies of Johnson and Carter.

A weekend poll by CNN/Opinion Research Corporation shows Republicans with an even greater advantage in congressional races than they had back in 1994, when Newt Gingrich led his party to victory – leading 10 percent in a generic ballot (52-42 percent) compared with 7 percent in ’94.

Independents going Republican

Even more dispiriting for Democrats: Fifty-five percent of independents say they'll vote for a Republican, with just 32 percent saying they'll go for the Democrat in their congressional district. That’s in line with the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, which also shows independents – who accounted for a major portion of Obama’s winning majority in 2008 – trending Republican.

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