Chris Christie: Is this Gov. Christie's Eminem moment?
The political buzz today is all about Gov. Chris Christie as another GOP 2012 candidate. DCDecoder doubts he'll run, but can Chris Christie resist the allure of the moment?
Look, if you had one shot, or one opportunity
To seize everything you ever wanted in one moment
Would you capture it or just let it slip?
- Eminem, â€śLose Yourselfâ€ť
Amid all the buzz about New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) possibly changing his mind about a presidential run, Decoder has been firmly planted in the skeptic camp.
We see a host of reasons it would be an uphill climb: Itâ€™s awfully late (the first ballot deadline is Oct 31), Christie has said â€śnoâ€ť in about every way possible (including telling Diane Sawyer he doesnâ€™t think heâ€™s ready for the job), and, for all his straight-talking appeal, Christie isnâ€™t exactly a perfect fit with the GOP base (heâ€™s a Northeastern governor who was once pro-choice).
On MSNBC this morning, Joe Scarborough got us thinking: â€ťIf Christie doesnâ€™t run this time,â€ť he argued, â€śthere will be no next time.â€ť If Christie waits four years (assuming Republicans lose in 2012), he could very well be competing against GOP stars like former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush or Florida Sen. Marco Rubio. More to the point, whatever lightning in a bottle Christie seems to have captured right now on the national stage almost certainly wonâ€™t last. That means this is probably his best shot.
It reminds us in some ways of the national buzz surrounding then-Sen. Barack Obama, before he actually entered the race back in 2007 (though Obama entered far earlier in the cycle). Much of the initial demurring coming from the Obama camp was along the lines of what Christie has been saying: He wasnâ€™t ready, he had just been elected, he was focusing on the job at hand.
In fact, we remember having exactly this conversation with Obamaâ€™s communications director Robert Gibbs in early 2006, trying to get a hint out of him: It was Obamaâ€™s â€śmoment,â€ť we posited, and when that moment comes, you have to grab it, right? He smiled, and demurred.
And then, Obama got in.