CNN finds Mr. Miller and Senator Murkowski essentially tied among likely voters with Democrat Mr. McAdams lagging behind. But a new poll of 500 likely voters paid for by a labor union and released Thursday has Miller running third at 23 percent with 29 percent for McAdams and 34 percent for "write in candidate" – presumably Murkowski.
Murkowski got a boost this week when the Alaska Supreme Court ruled that voters can see a list of write-in candidates when they go to the poll. At least that’ll help people remember how to spell “Murkowski.”
"Murkowski has run a smart campaign and dedicated a lot of resources to educating voters about how to vote for her," a senior GOP strategist told Washington Post political blogger Chris Cillizza. "Next to a hapless McAdams and disastrous Joe Miller, she has a decent shot to make history.”
The TIME/CNN/Opinion Research poll has Rand Paul ahead of Democrat Jack Conway, the state's attorney general, by a comfortable 7 percentage points (50 to 43) – including a whopping 63 to 26 among independent voters.
A Rasmussen Reports poll for Fox News gives Mr. Paul that same 7 point edge. The Daily Beast’s “Election Oracle” gives Paul an 80 percent chance of winning next week.