Will Sarah Palin be the October surprise?
One national poll shows Sarah Palin surging ahead of Rick Perry in a head to head matchup against Barack Obama. Will Sarah Palin announce her candidacy in time for the Florida primary deadline?
Itâ€™s been a good few weeks for Sarah Palin.
Now, a new national poll shows her trailing President Obama in a head-to-head matchup by just 5 points, 44 to 49 - this, after she had trailed him by more than 20 points for most of the year. Thatâ€™s better than current GOP frontrunner Rick Perry, who trails the president 41 to 50 in the same poll.
According to the survey, Palinâ€™s recent jump in support has come mostly from independents, who have lately been abandoning the president in droves. Still, she remains a controversial figure: 72 percent of Republicans and independents in the same survey also said they donâ€™t actually think Palin should run.
And that remains the question: will she or wonâ€™t she? Palin recently told Fox News that she thinks thereâ€™s â€śstill timeâ€ť for candidates to get into the race, and that sheâ€™s â€śstill consideringâ€ť it. She repeatedly said she believed it would be an â€śunconventionalâ€ť election year.
Palin did acknowledge that there are deadlines looming to get on the ballot in certain primary and caucus states. (Florida, for example, has a deadline of Oct. 31.)
Still, a late entry isnâ€™t necessarily insurmountable, particularly for candidates with high name recognition and easy access to cash. In 1995, self-funded candidate Steve Forbes waited until October to announce, and quickly became the strongest challenger to ultimate GOP nominee Bob Dole. Forbes made up for his lack of on-the-ground campaigning by blanketing the airwaves in early primary and caucus states with ads.
Palin may string everyone along for a while yet.
- Visit Palinâ€™s Political Action Committee (SarahPAC) on the web.
- Peruse some of the more salacious fallout from the McGinniss book, which resulted in a bizarre public spat between Greta Van Susteren and Tucker Carlson (we are staying far away from this oneâ€¦).