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Who will win at the Tony Awards Sunday night?

There's "Follies" and then there's folly. The first is a winning revival of Stephen Sondheim's musical. The other is any attempt to handicap Sunday's Tony Awards. But here goes.

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Philip Seymour Hoffman and Andrew Garfield appear at the curtain call for the opening night performance of the Broadway revival of Arthur Miller's "Death of A Salesman" in New York. The production is nominated for best revival of a play at the Tony Awards, airing Sunday.

Charles Sykes/AP

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There's "Follies" and then there's folly. The first is a winning revival of Stephen Sondheim's musical that wowed Broadway this season. The other is how you can characterize any attempt to handicap Sunday's Tony Awards. But here goes.

BEST MUSICAL

Will win: "Newsies." Should win: "Once."

This is the battle of extremes — the stripped-down, bittersweet magic of "Once" versus the pump-you-up appeal of classic razzle-dazzle in "Newsies." Both are a great night out, just different. Both came from movies and only "Newsies" has new songs written specifically for the stage, giving it an edge with Tony voters. But "Once" just makes you feel, well, good. As for the other contenders, "Leap of Faith" doesn't have a chance since it's already closed, and "Nice Work If You Can Get It" is a fun romp, but not as strong as its cousin "Anything Goes."

BEST PLAY

Will win: "Clybourne Park." Should win: "Clybourne Park."

Bruce Norris' sly, edgy gem has the same heat on it that Jon Robin Baitz's "Other Desert Cities" had when it opened in the winter. That doesn't make it better, just fresher. Both plays prove Broadway is putting on great American works again. The oh-so-cool "Peter and the Starcatcher" and the naughty "Venus in Fur" are inventive and bold, but not broad enough to tickle everyone.

REVIVAL-PLAY

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