While the poll is far from conclusive, it suggests that the national anti-incumbent streak that has already claimed Sen. Robert Bennett (R) of Utah and Sen. Arlen Specter (D) of Pennsylvania in primaries is threatening to do the same to Lincoln. And women like Baker are only adding to the momentum.
Without additional data it’s hard to tell which way female voters will vote, but women in Arkansas may be slightly more liberal than men, says Janine Parry, director of the Arkansas Poll at the University of Arkansas. So “those with higher levels of income and education may be receiving the cues of unions and [liberal advocacy group] MoveOn.org more favorably than men.”
in March, Lincoln fell out of favor with a strong female ally – EMILY's List, which supported her in 1998. Its chair, Ellen Malcom, wrote then that Lincoln had failed to protect women's reproductive freedom during the health-care debate.