Rep. Steve Israel, the Democrats' congressional campaign chief, hasn't said Democrats will retake the House – just that they might.
Michael Bonfigli / The Christian Science Monitor
Rep. Steve Israel, the Democrat charged with retaking the House for his party in 2012, says the election outcome “is going to be razor close, razor close. The House will be in play.”
The Chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) sounded a note of caution about his goal, at a Monitor-sponsored breakfast for reporters. “I can’t tell you we are going to get 26, I can’t tell you we can get 24,” Representative Israel cautions. A net gain of 24 seats for Democrats would wrest the speakership away from John Boehner.
When his party picked up a seat from the normally-Republican 26th district of New York last week, it “dispelled” party members' doubts about the coming election, Israel says. The victory was attributed, at least in part, to voter unhappiness with a Republican plan to have Medicare become a voucher-like program for Americans under age 55.
After that, voters, are having “buyers’ remorse” about voting Republican, claims Israel.
Charlie Cook, editor of the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, recently wrote, “There is no historical precedent for the party of a president seeking reelection scoring a net gain of more than 15 seats.” Franklin Roosevelt’s Democrats only picked up 11 seats in 1936. Under Ronald Reagan, Republicans gained only 14 seats in 1984.