Money's getting tighter in China, Hong Kong

China's seeing a slowdown in lending, property sales are falling in Hong Kong

|
Reuters / File
An employee counts Chinese yuan banknotes at a Bank of China branch in Hefei, Anhui province March 10, 2010. In China and Hong Kong, financial stress is building, writes guest blogger Stefan Karlsson.

All the interest rate and reserve requirement increases in China seems to finally be having an effect as money supply and bank lending growth slows. By Western standards it is still very high, but by Chinese standards low.

This slowdown is essentially a good thing and will reduce the level of malinvestments. The short-term effect will however be slower growth and will also contribute to lower commodity prices. That is in turn bearish for commodity currencies like the dollars of Australia and Canada.

Meanwhile, property sales in semi-independent Hong Kong fell sharply after the government raised required down payments. This means that bank lending and money supply growth is likely cooling in Hong Kong as well.

Because of its U.S. dollar peg, Hong Kong is unable to use interest rates to cool down its property market so they instead use regulations that has a similar effect as higher interest rate would have except that this is more specifically targeted at the property market and doesn't cause a currency appreciation.

Add/view comments on this post.

--------------------------

The Christian Science Monitor has assembled a diverse group of the best economy-related bloggers out there. Our guest bloggers are not employed or directed by the Monitor and the views expressed are the bloggers' own, as is responsibility for the content of their blogs. To contact us about a blogger, click here. To add or view a comment on a guest blog, please go to the blogger's own site by clicking on the link above.

You've read  of  free articles. Subscribe to continue.
QR Code to Money's getting tighter in China, Hong Kong
Read this article in
https://www.csmonitor.com/Business/Stefan-Karlsson/2011/0615/Money-s-getting-tighter-in-China-Hong-Kong
QR Code to Subscription page
Start your subscription today
https://www.csmonitor.com/subscribe