Budget deficits not Obama's fault(Read article summary)
Before the President took office, fiscal conditions had deteriorated to the point that what was a projected surplus in 2012 was now a deficit.
Jon Chait has a piece up today, amplified by Paul K, wherein he justly criticizes a piece of extremely sloppy â€śanalysisâ€ť blaming recent budget deficits on President Obama.Â Â The authorâ€™s evidence for this phony claim is that in Jan 2008, CBO projected surpluses by 2012.Â Since we will in fact have deficits in 2012, and Obama entered the scene in the interim, itâ€™s got to be all his fault.
Jon points out all the caveats that CBO themselves introduced into their budget projection, especially the parts about how a bad recession would flip this surplus to a deficit.Â Such caveats are, however,Â ignored by those looking to tarnish the President regardless of the facts.
But you donâ€™t have to rest on CBOs caveats alone.Â You can look at the budget projectionsÂ they released a year later, in Jan 2009, the month the President took office, and hadnâ€™t yet had a chance to work his socialist, Kenyan, deficit-inducing evil magic.Â
As the figure shows, by Jan09 the CBO had concluded that conditions were worse than theyâ€™d thought andâ€“before the President took officeâ€“fiscal conditions had deteriorated to the point that what was a projected surplus in 2012 was now a deficit.Â
The deficit projections would grow more negative as the recession wore on, but to use the Jan08 instead of Jan09 data is patently wrong (a commenter on Jonâ€™s cite also makes this point).