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Election Day November 2009: What will it mean?

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Before the votes are even counted on Election Day November 2009, analysts are debating the meaning of this year’s elections.

At stake are governor’s races in New Jersey and Virginia and a congressional seat in upstate New York’s 23rd district. The key issue: Without Barack Obama on the ticket to energize Democrats, what kinds of gains can Republicans post?

In Virginia, Republican candidate Bob McDonnell appears to be well ahead of Democrat Creigh Deeds. In New Jersey, Democratic incumbent Jon Corzine looks to be in a dead heat with GOP nominee Chris Christie. And in upstate New York, the Republican candidate dropped out over the weekend, leaving Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman showing a narrow lead over Democrat Bill Owens.

Dollars and candidates follow victories

What would a strong Republican showing mean? At a Monitor-sponsored breakfast for reporters Monday, Republican pollster Bill McInturff, a partner in the firm Public Opinion Strategies, said a strong showing would have “an enormous bearing on candidate recruitment and money, and I wouldn’t underestimate what it means.”

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