Five states where GOP might pull another Brown
Republican Scott Brown's win in Massachusetts provides a boost for the GOP's momentum for the 2010 midterm elections. Here are five states where Republicans might pick off Senate seats this November.
That’s what veteran political prognosticator Charlie Cook wrote Friday in National Journal – and he’s not alone in making such a prediction.
Brown’s upset win provided the GOP more than just a 41st vote to disrupt President Obama’s agenda, according to Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia. It’s also given Republicans momentum, and a big boost in morale.
Democrats will probably retain control of the Senate following the November vote. The GOP would need a net gain of 10 seats to reach 51, and many experts still don’t see that happening.
Mr. Sabato, for instance, predicts Republicans will gain three to five seats. But as he notes in his most recent "Crystal Ball" analysis, Brown’s win will help GOP leaders recruit better candidates for races that might previously have been dismissed as unwinnable.
“As some independents sour on the Democratic Party, the possibility for a GOP majority can no longer be dismissed out of hand,” writes Sabato.
Here are five states where Republicans might take a Senate seat from the Democrats this fall, in order of most to least likely to go GOP: